The Yomiuri ShimbunThirty-two percent of respondents to the most recent Yomiuri Shimbun opinion survey, conducted Saturday and Sunday, said they would vote for the ruling Liberal Democratic Party in the proportional representation segment of the Oct. 22 House of Representatives election.
The figure was highest among all parties and remained almost unchanged from the previous survey taken on Sept. 28 and 29, just after the dissolution of the lower house, when 34 percent said they would vote for the LDP in the proportional representation race.
Thirteen percent of respondents said they would vote for Kibo no To (Party of Hope), down from 19 percent in the previous survey, while 7 percent said the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan.
Among the other parties, 5 percent chose the LDP’s coalition partner Komeito, down from 6 percent in the previous survey. This was followed by the Japanese Communist Party with 4 percent, down from 5 percent in the previous survey, and Nippon Ishin no Kai with 3 percent, up from 2 percent in the previous survey. Twenty-seven percent said they had not decided which party to vote for, up two percentage points from the previous survey.
The approval rating for Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s Cabinet was 41 percent, almost the same as the previous survey’s 43 percent. The disapproval rating was 46 percent, the same as the previous survey.
Opinion was divided about whether or not the ruling parties of the LDP and Komeito should maintain a majority in the lower house, with 44 percent of respondents saying yes, and 42 percent saying no.
Regarding what kind of government they hope will take power after the upcoming election, 54 percent of respondents said they want one “led mainly by the LDP and supported by some opposition parties,” the largest among the answers given, followed by 20 percent who said a “government led mainly by current opposition parties,” and 16 percent who said a “government led mainly by the LDP.”
Thirty-six percent of respondents had positive expectations for new party Kibo, led by Tokyo Gov. Yuriko Koike — lower than the 58 percent who did not.
Among the voters with no party affiliation — who account for nearly 40 percent of the total — 43 percent had positive expectations for Kibo, while 50 percent did not. Among voters living in Tokyo, 25 percent said they have positive expectations for the party.
Twenty-eight percent of respondents had positive expectations for Rikken Minshuto, formed by former Democratic Party Deputy President Yukio Edano and others — lower than the 64 percent who said they did not.
Regarding Koike serving as the leader of Kibo, 71 percent said she “should focus on her duties as Tokyo governor,” up from 62 percent in the previous survey. Nineteen percent said she “should continue to serve as both the party leader and Tokyo governor as she does now,” down from 21 percent in the previous survey, while 7 percent said she “should quit as Tokyo governor and run in the lower house election,” down from 12 percent in the previous survey.
Meanwhile, 33 percent said they support the LDP, up from 32 percent in the previous survey. This was followed by Kibo no To with 8 percent, down from 9 percent, and Rikken Minshuto with 4 percent. Thirty-eight percent said they have no party affiliation, down from 40 percent in the previous survey.
The survey was conducted by calling 965 households with fixed-line phones and 1,182 mobile phone users — all aged 18 or older — using a random digit dialing method. Of them, 555 people on fixed lines and 544 people on mobile phones — 1,099 in total — gave valid answers.Speech