The Associated Press WASHINGTON (AP) — Global carbon pollution rose this year after three straight years when levels of the heat-trapping gas did not go up at all, scientists reported Monday.
Preliminary figures project that worldwide carbon dioxide emissions are up about 2 percent this year, according to an international team of scientists. Most of the increase came from China.
The report by the Global Carbon Project team dashed hopes that emissions from the burning of coal, oil and gas had peaked.
“We hoped that we had turned the corner ... We haven’t,” said study co-author Rob Jackson, an Earth scientist at Stanford University.
Carbon dioxide emissions rose steadily and slowly starting in the late 1880s with the Industrial Revolution, then took off dramatically in the 1950s. In the last three years, levels had stabilized at about 40 billion tons of carbon dioxide.
Estimates for 2017 put it at about 40.8 billion tons. Sixty years ago, the world spewed only 9.2 billion tons.
“It’s a bit staggering,” said co-author Ralph Keeling, a Scripps Institution of Oceanography scientist, noting in an email that levels have increased fourfold since he was born in the 1950s. “We race headlong into the unknown.”
Man-made carbon dioxide is causing more than 90 percent of global warming since 1950, U.S. scientists reported this month.
This year’s increase was mostly spurred by a 3.5 percent jump in Chinese carbon pollution, said study co-author Glen Peters, a Norwegian scientist. Declines in the United States (0.4 percent) and Europe (0.2 percent) were smaller than previous years. India, the No. 3 carbon polluting nation, went up 2 percent.
The 2017 estimate comes to an average of 1.16 million kilograms of carbon dioxide spewing into the air every second.
The study was published Monday and is being presented in Bonn during climate talks where leaders are trying to come up with rules for the 2015 Paris deal.
The goal is to limit temperature rise to 2 C since preindustrial times, but it’s already warmed half that amount.