Survey finds ruling LDP/ruling party still has strong lead ahead of election

The Yomiuri ShimbunThe Liberal Democratic Party maintained a sizable lead over the largest opposition party, the Constitutional Democratic Party of Japan (CDPJ), ahead of the July 21 upper house election, according to a nationwide opinion poll conducted by The Yomiuri Shimbun.

Based on the telephone survey conducted Thursday and Friday, 36 percent of respondents said they would vote for the LDP in the proportional representation segment of the House of Councillors election.

This figure is down slightly from 40 percent in the previous survey conducted on June 28-30, but the party has maintained its lead over the CDPJ, for which 10 percent said they would vote, unchanged from the previous survey.

Since The Yomiuri Shimbun started conducting this survey in January, the rate of those who plan to vote for the LDP in the proportional representation segment has hovered around 40 percent. It reached its highest point of 43 percent in a May survey conducted after the change of era from Heisei to Reiwa, but after two consecutive decreases had dipped by seven points.

Meanwhile, the CDJP maintained the same level as the previous survey with about 10 percent, Nippon Ishin no Kai was at 7 percent, Komeito had 6 percent and the Japanese Communist Party was 4 percent — all virtually flat from the previous survey.

During the election campaign, opposition parties have criticized the government over the pension system. The survey also found that the rate of those who feel uneasy about the state pension system remained high at 83 percent, unchanged from the previous survey.

Asked about the most important policies or issues in choosing a party, the rate of respondents who said “social security matters such as pensions” was the highest at 37 percent, down from 38 percent.

Forty-eight percent of respondents said it is better that the ruling LDP and Komeito coalition maintain a majority of seats in the upper house, down from 49 percent in the previous survey. Meanwhile, 38 percent said they did not agree with the idea, down from 39 percent.

Regarding policies or issues that voters will give the most priority to, the rate of respondents who cited “constitutional amendment” ranked fifth at 7 percent, up from 6 percent.

When asked if they would use policies on the Constitution as a criterion for choosing which party to vote for, 50 percent said they would do so, while 40 percent gave a negative response.

As for political party support, 38 percent selected the LDP, down from 39 percent, followed by the CDPJ with 6 percent, up from 5 percent. Thirty-seven percent said they do not support any party, down from 42 percent.

The survey was conducted by calling 1,613 households on landline phones and 1,910 mobile phone users, all sampled through the random digit dialing method. All respondents were eligible voters aged 18 or older. Of them 1,579 people — 789 on landlines and 790 on mobile phones — gave valid answers.Speech

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