China’s exports in August take unexpected tumble

Reuters BEIJING (Reuters) — China’s exports unexpectedly fell in August as shipments to the United States slowed sharply, pointing to further weakness in the world’s second-largest economy and underlining a pressing need for more stimulus as the Sino-U.S. trade war escalates.

Beijing is widely expected to announce more support measures in coming weeks to avert the risk of a sharper economic slowdown as the United States ratchets up trade pressure, including the first cuts in some key lending rates in four years.

On Friday, the central bank cut banks’ reserve requirements for a seventh time since early 2018 to free up more funds for lending, days after a cabinet meeting signaled that more policy loosening may be imminent.

August exports fell 1 percent from a year earlier, the biggest fall since June, when it fell 1.3 percent, customs data showed on Sunday.

Analysts had expected a 2.0 percent rise in a Reuters poll after July’s 3.3 percent gain.

That’s despite analyst expectations that a falling yuan would offset some cost pressure and looming tariffs may have prompted some Chinese exporters to bring forward or “front-load” U.S.-bound shipments into August, a trend seen earlier in the trade dispute.

China let its currency slide past the key 7-per-dollar level in August for the first time since the global financial crisis, and Washington labeled it a currency manipulator.

“Exports are still weak even in the face of substantial yuan currency depreciation, indicating that sluggish external demand is the most important factor affecting exports this year,” said Zhang Yi, economist at Zhong Hai Sheng Rong Capital Management.

Among its major trade partners, China’s August exports to the United States fell 16 percent year-on-year, slowing sharply from a decline of 6.5 percent in July. Imports from America slumped 22.4 percent.

Many analysts expect export growth to slow further in coming months, as evidenced by worsening export orders in both official and private factory surveys. More U.S. tariff measures will take effect on Oct. 1 and Dec. 15.

“China-U.S. trade friction has led to a sharp decline in China’s exports to the United States,” said Steven Zhang, chief economist and head of research at Morgan Stanley Huaxin Securities.Speech

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